Baaghi 3 opened pretty well with occupancy of around 30-35% but this is well short of the last film in the franchise which opened at 55% apprx. It is the best opening of the year but the expectations were of a better opening. The expectations were always going to be tough to hit as advance sales slowed down considerably yesterday at multiplexes.
The occupancy is better at mass centres like Agra and Ajmer but the collections should have been stronger in Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore. Even cities in East Punjab could have been better. Baaghi 2 did not have a huge start in Mumbai city or Delhi city but still the collections were still good or very good. Here they can be called average only in the metros.
The film has been affected by this corona virus news but it cant be said by how much. That will only be known when the final collections come out as the ratios of circuits should be pretty much similar to Baaghi 2 but there are margins then it will probably be because of this virus threat.
Despite these external factors it will be still probably come out with a good first day number but when these things happen a lot depends on the news breaks which can easily slow collections like it happened with the advance on Thursday. The industry has not seen a good Friday for a long time and this film should have been that 20 crore nett plus opener though now the film will probably have to settle for a less.