that is actually a very good hypothesis.....
the possibility of moving of one or more out of these 6 mega movies (TOH, SOTY 2, 2.0, Total dhamaal, zero , simmba)
simmba is in safest spot..... so if its not a decoy release date kept for ZERO by karan johar.... its the safest and can stay .... will stay most probably
actually according to you SOTY 2 is in most trouble.... on the contrary ...its the most safest movie out of all..... economically and its investments will be covered during the weekend itself.
if they postpone it ...it will not be due to it big movies beffore and after.
kedarnath is guaranteed to be postponed (if it didn't already) ...so it shouldn't even be counted
there is one more HAATHI mere saathi..... which will get postponed but if it didn't... it can get quite alot of footfalls in north than anyone could anticipate.
2.0 is sure to be released on this date..... thats certain...if there were any chance of it being postponed....they wouldn't have announced the date after so many delays.
total dhamal ..... will also release on time..... zero as well....
i think all movies will release on their time.
TOH will not be effected as its a frontloaded weekend movie.....in fact two weeks are too much for it.... total dhamaal or kedarnath should take TOH's second week
but these two months alone....can give 1000cr domestic from just these 6 movies.
SOTY 2 150cr
Haathi mere saathi 40cr (total 150cr)
2.0 150cr (total 400cr)
Total Dhamaal 75cr
movies which i think are going to be great ... and movies which i think are going to average or bad...
TOH - it will have a great first look and trailer.... in terms of aamir khan's look...... outrageous look to be precise. and amitab's look.... will also carry huge impact....it will not be centered towards aamir khan's character... rather it will be ... all these characters given importance... but eventually movie itself will be bad.... it will open to 90-100cr weekend and 200cr lifetime.
SOTY 2 - karan johar will make sure he encashes on the goodwill Tiger shroff earned from baaghi 2 as mmuch as he can...he will extract each and every positive to give the movie a big push... .movie itself will be hideous.... only dance , eye candy, love songs, abs, bikinis , love triangle , jealousy... the usual dharma stuff... but multiplexes will go crazy and youth will make it look like event film on non holiday. movie will open to 28cr opening day and 90cr weekend and 150cr lifetime
2.0 - this you can be absolutely assured that it will be a great movie.... may be not for critics btu for audience...it will be so much entertainment..... that even in north it will open to over 20cr on its opening day and with good WOM it will reach 150cr lifetime....
Zero - this will be a great movie thats assured.... and it will be only on entertainment.... it will be a feel good movie.... and it can assured.... that movie will run on the basis of WOM....
opening day will be 25cr and 150cr plus lifetime.... if there is no simmba in week 2 then ... it will do over 250cr
Simmba - it will be entertaining but more than that... it will be intense.... tight.... this time.... with rohit shetty brand.... and padmavati goodwill .... it will open to 30cr with 100cr weekend and 200cr lifetime.